Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 60.231782 68.446311 76.895458 86.202193 96.133598 106.384239 117.733960
2025-06-29 47.044687 58.657118 71.204383 85.630872 101.629069 118.707826 138.202342
2025-07-06 38.052186 51.204657 65.983358 83.530667 103.530201 125.377248 150.817836
2025-07-13 34.238194 48.968521 66.031959 86.782279 110.901441 137.673139 169.273125
2025-07-20 30.565453 46.381293 65.238802 88.677033 116.398876 147.598041 184.849337
2025-07-27 26.418546 42.738456 62.798971 88.292394 118.968612 153.957772 196.192680
2025-08-03 22.739398 39.297556 60.284146 87.534481 120.861073 159.345380 206.261540
2025-08-10 20.135773 37.006217 58.992284 88.084411 124.160717 166.254263 217.992618
2025-08-17 17.413057 34.267619 56.905836 87.458933 125.888478 171.197141 227.341604
2025-08-24 15.350368 32.255561 55.610771 87.699119 128.568247 177.190639 237.862434
2025-08-31 13.131733 29.770153 53.498220 86.738282 129.642195 181.170889 245.934546
2025-09-07 11.868251 28.627418 53.138776 87.993620 133.436302 188.399736 257.847978
2025-09-14 10.743511 27.615975 52.924411 89.440238 137.508173 196.034850 270.353937
2025-09-21 9.126730 25.589154 51.124272 88.662376 138.677821 200.081445 278.532773
2025-09-28 7.385854 23.088632 48.450333 86.549960 138.013930 201.780931 283.803783
2025-10-05 7.078003 23.204789 49.701997 89.863820 144.414675 212.255947 299.753430
2025-10-12 6.497731 22.720382 49.987941 91.798127 148.992721 220.456090 312.938116
2025-10-19 5.508738 21.269968 48.675083 91.405519 150.453326 224.721535 321.290654
2025-10-26 4.568539 19.752021 47.150479 90.632154 151.350692 228.238380 328.696158
2025-11-02 3.958971 18.858752 46.578785 91.193314 154.005572 233.961130 338.813847
2025-11-09 3.240608 17.553097 45.232274 90.555057 154.996461 237.538267 346.256974
2025-11-16 2.730515 16.652917 44.511481 90.800155 157.158341 242.593516 355.527456
2025-11-23 2.140081 15.361857 43.017916 89.819635 157.595326 245.403301 361.977964